"If we believe that market manipulation can occur in prediction markets (aka "event markets"), I believe it is both appropriate and timely for our industry to discuss this important issue..."
John Delaney, CEO, Intrade.com, 7/31/2008
Fraud and manipulation in prediction markets are the systematic results of incentive incompatibility, which, if present, have to be detected and balanced. Written in 2008 and released in December 2009 the book "Manipulations in Prediction Markets" gives a critical insight into manipulations that are most likely to occur in prediction markets. The book introduces a new way of detecting irregular trading behaviour.
All Publications by FSM Group
Find the full publications list of FSM Group and its affiliates here.